Archive for August 2012

Royal Gorge-Big changes afoot!   Leave a comment

ImageSo in case you haven’t heard. The big news for folks on Donner Summit, and perhaps for the region as a whole, is that the Truckee Donner Land Trust and several other organizations are in escrow to purchase the 3000 acres where Royal Gorge Cross-Country Ski Area is located. It is not quite a done deal yet, because they have to come up with a fairly sizeable chunk of money to make this happen by mid-December, but if it does, it could have a number of big impacts on the area:

-The proposal to build over 1000 units on Donner Summit, as well as additional commercial development, and ski lifts is kaput. The land will not be developed.

-A major priority for the Truckee Donner Land Trust is to open up land that was previously posted with “No Trespassing” signs, and make it open to public access. TDLT plans on producing a trail use plan for the 3000 acres which will create an extensive new network of hiking and biking trails providing access to mountain lakes, spectacular rocky canyons and the Royal Gorge itself. Public input for this plan will be requested. The new network will not only be a major new recreational attraction for the Donner Summit area, but hopefully it will reduce the burden on the overused Pacific Crest Trail-Mt. Judah Loop trail network.

-Sugar Bowl Ski Area is in negotiations with the purchasers to operate the Royal Gorge Ski Area. With their expertise and existing equipment it is hoped they could get up and running, even with a tight time frame, this winter. Sugar Bowl is also committed to enhancing the ski area, including perhaps upgrading the facilities.

Want to help? You can contact the Truckee Donner Land Trust at http://www.tdlandtrust.org http://www.tdlandtrust.org or the Northern Sierra Partnership at www.northernsierrapartnership.org for more information or to contribute to the fund to purchase the property.

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Finally, it’s time to buy a house   Leave a comment

 

By DAVID WEIDNER

MarketWatch’s David Weidner checks in on Mean Street to point out that changes in the economy’s housing sector indicate it’s time for prospective homeowners to sign on the dotted line.

Warren Buffett <https://www.outlookmail.com/exchweb/bin/redir.asp?URL=http://topics.wsj.com/person/b/warren-buffett/641>  famously once said: “Be fearful when others are greedy, be greedy when others are fearful.”

And if you’re not instinctively scared of the housing market, then global warming, saturated fat, running with scissors and the bogeyman probably aren’t keeping you awake at night, either.

The fact that everyone is scared to dabble in-much less commit to-housing makes it a close-to-perfect investment based on Mr. Buffett’s principle. But buying real estate is a good long-term investment for many more reasons, some of which have only become apparent in recent weeks.

The most striking: Housing prices rose sharply from April to May. The S&P/Case-Shiller Index rose 2.2% in 20 of the nation’s big cities. Prices shot up more than 3% in Chicago, Atlanta, San Francisco and Minneapolis. Even Detroit’s housing market scored again, inching up by 0.4%.

Nationally, the increase was the first in seven months. More importantly, the increase matched other data and empirical evidence this spring that foreclosures slowed and inventories were shrinking. Simple economics suggests that as the supply of distressed property slows, buyers will be forced into higher-price properties.

In addition, interest rates on 30-year fixed mortgages have tumbled below 3.5%. For those who can get credit, these aren’t just historically low rates; they are one-sided deals tilted toward borrowers.

Other good signs: Housing starts rose 6.9% in June. Home-building stocks are on the rise, with the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index up 27% so far this year. And for those who can invest in property, rents continue their ascent. Prices are at a 10-year high, with the median unit renting for $710 a month. Real-estate website Trulia found that it is cheaper to buy than rent in each of the nation’s 100 biggest metropolitan areas.

In other words, if you can buy a home today, you can save the difference it would cost you to rent even if you stay in the home just five years. If you can buy a property and rent it, it is almost certain that the rent will cover the cost of the financing-and the property will appreciate.

Here’s where the fear comes in. From 30% to 50% of existing mortgages in the U.S. market are underwater, depending on the estimate. That means many borrowers are trapped in their homes and loans. They either can keep paying and hope prices will improve or walk away, putting downward pressure on home prices.

Foreclosure rates have leveled off, but market analysts believe an increase is likely.

Here’s why. Since the financial crisis, 3.7 million homes have been foreclosed on, but an additional 1.4 million remain in the national foreclosure inventory, according to CoreLogic, a real-estate research firm.

Finally, a housing recovery won’t happen, or could be snuffed out, by a rotten economy. There’s never been significant growth in housing with high unemployment. And as Dow Jones’s Kathleen Madigan noted, “Potential buyers must feel secure with their job prospects before they commit to long-term mortgages. Higher loan standards mean banks want to see an applicant’s solid income history before lending.”

There is plenty to be afraid of when it comes to home buying. But in the current investing climate, housing presents an attractive long-term investment that should hold steady or even have upside surprise in the short term.

Fixed-income yields have fallen to historic lows, and the stock market has traded in a range, rising and falling skittishly on jobs, growth data and the news from Europe.

Recently, I was forced to choose between renting and buying. I decided to buy because it offered immediate monthly savings compared to renting, not to mention a mortgage-interest deduction.

So this is at least one case where I’m putting my money where my keyboard is.

Mr. Buffett would remind us that investments of any kind are not without risk. Each should be considered with the investor’s time horizon and appetites. But he also has acknowledged that real estate is especially attractive when financing is cheap, there is pent-up demand and prices have been driven down by a spooked market. Put another way, it’s time to be greedy.

Write to David Weidner at david.weidner@dowjones.com <mailto:david.weidner@dowjones.com>

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